Yesterday, all around Baristaville, you saw people out on a beautiful day, and for many, celebrating the chance to vote for a candidate they hoped would become the first woman president. Facebook feeds were filled with those proud photos showing “I voted” stickers and pictures of kids accompanying parents to the polls. The mood began to darken around 9:30 p.m. last night, when the map started turning red and states too close to call began to fall into the column for Donald Trump. How did it happen?
“It’s a shocking result,” says Henry de Koninck, a Montclair political consultant and campaign manager. “Poll samples were definitely off but there’s more to it. Clinton underperformed in suburbia and Trumps’ white rural coalition was larger than anyone expected.”
The polls seemed to be telling a different story up until election night, so we asked de Koninck whether he believes this will affect how much polls are relied on in the future.
“It may to some extent. Heard a theory that “hidden” Trump voters didn’t talk to “establishment” pollsters. I think it has more to do with off samples,” he says, adding that the L.A. Times had it right.
Last night, Montclair’s Jonathan Alter weighed in with this dark tweet:
America has never faced such a crisis before. World War II was 4 years but US always fairly sure we would win. This will be a new menace.
— Jonathan Alter (@jonathanalter) November 9, 2016
Reaction all over social media is colored by these stages of grief — denial, anger and depression (except of course, here). Some aren’t crying alone. A impromptu meetup “Cry in Our Coffee” this morning around 9 a.m. at Java Love on Church Street is planned for those who need to talk it through.